The most important skill for an empirical researcher is not math, but judgment.
实证研究者最重要的技能不是数学，而是判断力。
像我们这样的人，通过努力做到始终不笨，而不是努力变得聪明，获得了多少长期优势，这一点很了不起。
"The past is what you remember, imagine you remember, convince yourself you remember, or pretend you remember."
I needed a drink, I needed a lot of life insurance, I needed a vacation, I needed a home in the country. What I had was a coat, a hat and a gun.