你不必亲自去尿电网,才能学会不这么做。
You don’t have to pee on an electric fence to learn not to do it.
We search through historical data looking for anomalous patterns that we would not expect to occur at random. Our scheme is to analyze data and markets to test for statistical significance and consistency over time. Once we find one, we test it for statistical significance and consistency over time. After we determine its validity, weask, ‘Does this correspond to some aspect of behavior that seems reasonable?’
The greatest stories are those that leave room for silence.