预测往往反映的是预测者当前的知识和偏见,而非真实的未来。
"A story is a letter that the author writes to himself, to tell himself things that he would be unable to discover otherwise."
The only phrase I've ever disliked is, 'Why, we've always done it that way.' I always tell young people, 'Go ahead and do it. You can always apologize later.'