We search through historical data looking for anomalous patterns that we would not expect to occur at random. Our scheme is to analyze data and markets to test for statistical significance and consistency over time. Once we find one， we test it for statistical significance and consistency over time. After we determine its validity， weask， ‘Does this correspond to some aspect of behavior that seems reasonable？’

保守主义始于一种所有成熟人都能轻易共鸣的情感：美好的事物容易被摧毁，却不易被创造。