有效性幻觉是一种认知错觉，指人在分析一组数据时高估了自己准确解释和预测结果的能力。

The novel is a very democratic form. It allows for the expression of many voices, many points of view.

发明的进步使人类拥有了世纪前最大胆的想象也无法梦见的力量。

The most important thing in trading is to stay in the game. You have to be able to survive the bad times to make it to the good times.

Writing is a way of preserving the truth of the past.

心理学关注心理生活的“是什么”和“怎么样”，而非“为什么”。

You’ve got to have models in your head. And you’ve got to array your experience—both vicarious and direct—on this latticework of models. You may have noticed students who just try to remember and pound back what is remembered. Well, they fail in school and in life. You’ve got to hang experience on a latticework of models in your mind.

伟大的敌人是优秀。